Good morning, tradersā¦
Ben here.
To those paying close attention, itās clear the major indexes have been choppy recentlyā¦
From July 16 to August 5, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA: SPY) dropped 9.6%, while the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ) lost 15.8%.
But the downtrend has seemingly reversed over the past two weeks. The indexes have gained back some ground, placing them at levels they first hit on June 13.
In other words, two months of gains have been erased. This is what I mean when I say the market is choppy.
And when the tape is this indecisive, itās tough to have faith that any individual chartās trendline will hold.
You might second-guess entries and exits you wouldnāt have a few weeks ago. I get it. Itās hard to be extremely confident in this environment.
Now, youāre probably wondering how to keep your account safe ā and maximize your opportunities to profit ā when the market is this swingyā¦
Let me show you the four steps to navigating unpredictable market conditionsā¦
Raise Your Trade Standards
When the market gets extra choppy, I become even more picky with my trades. Iām raising my standards, being more discerning, and making fewer trades overall.
Youāve probably noticed that Iāve been trading more conservatively over the past few weeks.
This is a conscious decision that comes from experience. Iām waiting for the setups that fit my strategy perfectly.
If you notice a day when no clear trends are forming and every setup seems to be failing ā be cautious. Donāt try to get creative in this chop.
You have to know what youāre looking for in the options market, and then patiently wait for those setups to appear. Trade like a farmer waiting for the ideal harvest.
If a five-star, bread-and-butter setup appears ā¦ by all means, make the trade.
But donāt force setups youāre not 100% confident in. You donāt have to trade every day. Thereās nothing wrong with sitting on the sidelines until you find the setups youāre looking for.
Go back to the basics. Only trade the patterns that consistently work for you.
Size Down Your Positions
Donāt overexpose yourself to risk in this chop. Size your trades carefullyā¦
Smaller positions can give you more wiggle room to make mistakes, especially if youāre trading a small account.
Itās always easier (and more gratifying) to add to a winner than it is to trim a loser.
The most important thing is that you go on to trade another day. Protect your account at all costs and NEVER risk more than youāre willing to lose.
This is even more critical if youāre trading a small accountā¦
I canāt tell you how many traders Iāve seen blow their entire careers on a few poorly-sized trades. Donāt be like these failed prospectsā¦
In this choppy market, be very deliberate with your position sizing.
Pick the Right Strike Price (and Expiration Date)
Letās say youāre looking at a setup on Stock XYZ, currently trading for $10ā¦
If you think XYZ could run to $11 in the near term, you should buy $11 calls.
Donāt buy strike prices that are further out of the money than your price target. This may sound obvious, but I see students make this mistake all the timeā¦
A less-experienced options trader might buy, say, a $12 call on Stock XYZ, going for a home run.
But this is a mistake. Not only does this increase the implied volatility (IV) of the contracts, but it also tempts traders to hold beyond their target.
Furthermore, the same type of problem can occur when choosing expiration datesā¦
When the market is choppy, I donāt recommend swing trading. Who knows whatās gonna happen next week?
You want to give yourself some margin of error while still sticking to relatively short-term contracts.
One week is a good amount of time to reap solid rewards if youāre immediately correct while also giving you wiggle room to exit without disastrous losses (if the trade goes south).
This brings me to my next piece of adviceā¦
Be Flexible
When the market is a āchop-fest,ā so to speak, you need to embrace your flexibility as an options traderā¦
Traditional stock traders have two choices ā long and short. But as an options trader, you arenāt beholden to these limiting choices.
In the options market, your trade possibilities are essentially endless. You can bet on general volatility or the spread between two contracts, buy puts to hedge long positions, and even sell covered calls or puts on stocks you hold.
That said, many newbie options traders donāt see these possibilities. Theyāre trading with blinders on, only looking at calls and puts.
Thereās nothing wrong with sticking to calls and puts, but you also shouldnāt completely ignore the possibilities the options market provides.
Consider alternate options trading strategies. Paper trade them and see how they react.
Be flexible and open to anything this price action asks for, adjust your strategy accordingly, and I bet your performance will improve.
Now, before we go, letās look at:
š°The Biggest Smart-Money Bets of the Dayš°
- $3 million bullish bet on KWEB 12/20/2024 $26 calls @ $2.04 avg. (seen on 8/14)
- $2.9 million bearish bet on WDC 10/18/2024 $65 puts @ $5.30 avg. (seen on 3/26)
- $1.7 million bullish bet on WMT 08/23/2024 $65 calls @ $4.15 avg. (seen on 3/26)
Happy trading,
Ben Sturgill
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*Past performance does not indicate future results