šŸ“ˆ Breakouts and Pullbacks: My 2 Favorite Directional Chart Patterns šŸ“‰

Happy Monday, tradersā€¦

Ben here.

Options trading is all about direction.

If the underlying stock doesnā€™t go in the direction of your contracts, your position is toast.

This is the delicate balance of risk and reward within options tradingā€¦

On the one hand, if you can correctly predict the near-term direction of a stock price ā€” you can make a lot of money quickly (with minimal upfront risk).

On the other hand, if youā€™re wrong about direction ā€” even for one day ā€” your contracts could lose a big chunk of their value, thus ruining your trade.

Unlike stock trading, thereā€™s a shot clock on every options trade called theta (a.k.a. time decay).

Options contracts begin losing value from the moment theyā€™re writtenā€¦

Like an ice cream cone on a hot summer day ā€” you better eat it fast, or itā€™ll melt before your very eyes.

That said, this directional difficulty is precisely what makes options trading so profitable ā€¦ when itā€™s executed with discipline and precision.

So, today, Iā€™m gonna show you my two favorite chart patterns for directional tradingā€¦

My Top 2 Directional Chart Patterns

There are two specific chart patterns that I love to use for directional trading:

Pattern #1: The Breakout

A breakout occurs when a stock surpasses its support or resistance levels.

These levels represent the price points where the stock has struggled to move beyond during a specific period. 

Breakouts are a strong indicator that the stock is likely to continue its trend, you could be in at the beginning of something BIGā€¦

But thereā€™s a catchā€¦

Some breakouts eventually prove to be false breakouts ā€” when a stock cracks a key level, lulling traders into a trap, only to quickly drop back below (or above) it.

And the key to identifying a breakout vs. a false breakout is daily trading volume.

If I see a stock crack a resistance level on low volume, I wonā€™t be rushing to buy calls.

But if I see a break above a key level with huge daily trading volume ā€” ideally bolstered by even more options volume ā€” Iā€™m far more likely to trade that setup.

For example, look at the February breakout in Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC):

WFC 1-year daily chart ā€” courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

From December 2023 to mid-February, WFC was rangebound between $46 (support) and $51 (resistance).

But as soon as the $51 level broke on massive daily trading volume, the stock entered a classic breakout uptrend, surging 13% in three weeks.

While there are no guarantees in the options market, volume helps confirm direction.

Now, onto the next patternā€¦

Pattern #2: The Pullback

The Pullback Pattern is exactly what it sounds likeā€¦

The share price ā€œpulls backā€ to a support level ā€” often after a strong move higher.

This is due to profit-taking. 

Traders hit their price target and sell ā€” often at an important round-number price level ā€” causing a pullback. 

Then, after holding the support level, the price reverses back to the upside. 

Contrary to breakouts, pullbacks usually work best on lower volume

You want to see big volume during the bullish rally, followed by lower-volume selling and consolidation back to support.

CAUTION: If thereā€™s enormous selling volume, thatā€™s usually a sign thereā€™s something seriously wrong (i.e. the COVID crash of March 2020). Thatā€™s not what weā€™re looking for with pullback trades. 

The benefit to pullbacks is that you can get a great entry price, especially if youā€™re trading options.

A few minor red days after a big run-up can take a huge bite out of call option premium, giving you a beautiful entry point for your trade.

Letā€™s look at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NASDAQ: TSM) ā€” a chart thatā€™s provided a bunch of pullback opportunities recentlyā€¦

TSM 6-month daily chart ā€” courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

Notice that:

  • The green volume is almost always greater than the red volumeā€¦
  • When the chart pulls back, it does so to a support level (or a higher low), keeping the uptrend intact.

I want you to start looking for breakouts and pullbacks on your charts.

Identifying these directional chart patterns can lead you to some incredible trading opportunities.

And speaking of incredible trading opportunities, letā€™s look at:

šŸ’°The Biggest Smart-Money Bets of the DayšŸ’°

  • $3.53 million bullish bet on GLD 05/17/2024 $230 calls @ $3.05 avg. (seen on 4/12)
  • $3.43 million bullish bet on FCX 06/21/2024 $50 calls @ $3.45 avg. (seen on 4/12)
  • $3.24 million bullish bet on AAPL 05/31/2024 $180 calls @ $4.00 avg. (seen on 4/12)

Happy trading,

Ben Sturgill

P.S. Are you struggling to find five-star trades in this choppy market?

Well, itā€™s time to stop strugglingā€¦

This FRIDAY, April 19 at 12 p.m. EST ā€” my colleague Danny Phee is hosting an urgent LIVE WEBINAR where heā€™ll reveal the most promising ā€˜smart moneyā€™ trades weā€™re seeing this week.

Donā€™t miss out ā€” CLICK HERE NOW TO RESERVE YOUR SEAT

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The material on this website is not to be construed as (i) a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, (ii) investment advice, or (iii) a representation that the investments being discussed are suitable or appropriate for any person. No representation is being made that following Daily Strike Alliance strategies will guarantee a particular outcome or result in profits. The price and value of stocks may fluctuate depending upon various market factors, and, as such, the strategies used by Daily Strike Alliance trainers to adjust for those fluctuations may change without notice.

There are significant risks associated with trading stocks and you must be aware of those risks, and willing to accept them, in order to invest in these markets. Past performance of any trading system or methodology is not indicative of future results. You should always conduct your own analysis before making investments. You should not trade with money you cannot afford to lose and there is a risk that trading stocks will result in a complete loss of your investment. Trading stocks, particularly penny stocks, is not suitable for everyone and requires hard work, due diligence, capital, and substantial time to monitor the market and timely execute trades. Never attempt to copy or mirror the trades discussed on this website or in the Daily Strike Alliance watchlists or alerts. Attempting to do so may result in substantial financial losses. For that reason, it is highly unlikely you will be able to buy the stocks at the same entry price, or sell the stocks at the same exit price, to achieve the same or similar profits obtained by the instructors.

Ā©2024 Millionaire Publishing LLC . All Rights Reserved

Terms of Service ā€“ Privacy Policy ā€“ Code of Conduct ā€“ Return Policy

All content on this website is intended for educational and informational purposes only.

The material on this website is not to be construed as (i) a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, (ii) investment advice, or (iii) a representation that the investments being discussed are suitable or appropriate for any person. No representation is being made that following Daily Strike Alliance strategies will guarantee a particular outcome or result in profits. The price and value of stocks may fluctuate depending upon various market factors, and, as such, the strategies used by Daily Strike Alliance trainers to adjust for those fluctuations may change without notice.

There are significant risks associated with trading stocks and you must be aware of those risks, and willing to accept them, in order to invest in these markets. Past performance of any trading system or methodology is not indicative of future results. You should always conduct your own analysis before making investments. You should not trade with money you cannot afford to lose and there is a risk that trading stocks will result in a complete loss of your investment. Trading stocks, particularly penny stocks, is not suitable for everyone and requires hard work, due diligence, capital, and substantial time to monitor the market and timely execute trades. Never attempt to copy or mirror the trades discussed on this website or in the Daily Strike Alliance watchlists or alerts. Attempting to do so may result in substantial financial losses. For that reason, it is highly unlikely you will be able to buy the stocks at the same entry price, or sell the stocks at the same exit price, to achieve the same or similar profits obtained by the instructors.

Ā©2024 Millionaire Publishing LLC . All Rights Reserved

Terms of Service ā€“ Privacy Policy ā€“ Code of Conduct ā€“ Return Policy